Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.226681 0.260984 0.299754 0.347022 0.403368 0.468719 0.550741
2025-10-26 0.176301 0.221599 0.278472 0.356044 0.460525 0.598455 0.797840
2025-11-02 0.145214 0.194172 0.260444 0.358634 0.503775 0.715952 1.060326
2025-11-09 0.123877 0.173728 0.245285 0.358540 0.539169 0.826847 1.343173
2025-11-16 0.107706 0.157023 0.231306 0.355555 0.567010 0.929977 1.643156
2025-11-23 0.094699 0.142634 0.217845 0.349773 0.587433 1.023633 1.954960
2025-11-30 0.087200 0.135503 0.214331 0.359187 0.635313 1.177705 2.440257
2025-12-07 0.078344 0.124859 0.203249 0.352948 0.652173 1.275041 2.838851
2025-12-14 0.072195 0.117903 0.197369 0.354962 0.685192 1.414146 3.393379
2025-12-21 0.066643 0.111257 0.191046 0.354854 0.713497 1.550284 4.000891
2025-12-28 0.063019 0.107580 0.189602 0.364103 0.764036 1.753607 4.899594
2026-01-04 0.059471 0.103609 0.187028 0.370465 0.809321 1.957801 5.914046
2026-01-11 0.056096 0.099681 0.184212 0.376254 0.855836 2.184388 7.159333
2026-01-18 0.053546 0.097075 0.183743 0.387351 0.919024 2.483276 8.896255
2026-01-25 0.050509 0.093177 0.180102 0.390435 0.961980 2.737889 10.658870
2026-02-01 0.047518 0.089059 0.175481 0.390373 0.996386 2.979242 12.576460
2026-02-08 0.044574 0.084746 0.169928 0.387080 1.020840 3.197390 14.591664
2026-02-15 0.041692 0.080292 0.163559 0.380688 1.034629 3.383833 16.633154
2026-02-22 0.040235 0.078729 0.163554 0.391097 1.104178 3.817901 20.697506
2026-03-01 0.037771 0.074760 0.157534 0.384199 1.115596 4.021410 23.501926
2026-03-08 0.036077 0.072338 0.154915 0.386426 1.159042 4.386760 28.052768
2026-03-15 0.034380 0.069762 0.151648 0.386306 1.194565 4.736533 33.079431
2026-03-22 0.033370 0.068656 0.151870 0.396535 1.271399 5.332000 41.533617